April 1 thru June 23, 2007

The bearish forecast remains but the market now has improving bond yields and sentiment in its favor, something that was lacking in our last forecast, but anticipated in our interest rate and bond models. The black box signals and Watloosoft© are still pointing lower, despite ...More

Portfolio Changes 6.29.2007

We have added several new positions for the third quarter including gold futures, crude oil futures, and an equity, SunOpta (STKL), while reducing the overall T-Bill position of the portfolio by the same amount.  ...More

Bonds Bust?

By LM Lupo

Bonds have remained one of our core portfolio holdings since we  traded through the 5.00% level last year.  The question that needs answered is simple: will the recent downdraft in prices continue with 5.00% and above the new range, or is it simple panic selling?  ...More

Sinovac Bullish Revenue Forecast Upped

Investor Contributed Research

We are raising our forecast of Sinovac’s first half 2007 revenues to $8.9mm from our February forecast of $7.8mm and are maintaining our current Earnings per Share (EPS) estimate of 2 cents/share. In this research report we are also commenting on several recent business developments and are reaffirming our current rating of Strong Speculative Buy.
...More

By LM Lupo

Significant market developments prompt this update to the Financial Trader Research© master portfolio as of May 18th, 2007.  As we noted in our recent market note, the major indexes have surpassed the froth...More

By LM Lupo

Since our last update, the market has performed as expected printing new highs shortly after the Chinese driven stock sell off, (see here below). But now the US macro market construct has deteriorated significantly.

Is the bull market supply of euphoria now over with last call being whispered in the din of the buying frenzy? A significant update from Financial Trader Research,,,More.

There is a reason why every city's largest downtown buildings and skyscrapers are banks...they make money, and lots of it.   Citigroup (C) will report in line earnings today and continue to trade higher.  They are rated a solid buy based on solid fundamentals and their wonderful monopolistic business model.  ...More

Crude Model Bullish

After tracking crude oil prices from the short side of the trade since August of last year, the models turned bullish last week with a close above our $62.00 stop based on the West Texas Intermediate cash market.  Despite the somewhat bearish supply and softer demand constructs, the price action simply overwhelmed even reasonable bearish arguments--if markets are ever reasonable ...More

Corn Still Bullish

There has been little need to update this futures special, save for our brief instructions to the media:  prices have risen nearly vertical since we began our initial bullish forecast, in August of 2006.  But last week was different.  The grain markets sold off sharply on what was perceived to be a very bearish crop report, with plantings forecast to reach nearly 91 million acres... More

For the second straight quarter, The Financial Trader Master Portfolio grew a solid +3.6%, which easily surpassed the church mouse poor gains of the S&P 500, up a meager +1.5% including dividends. 

Outperforming the S&P is not always a difficult feat, but the startling facts reveal...More

Investment Fund Acquires Large Reportable Position in Sinovac (Bullish)

Although institutional holdings in Sinovac climbed in the latest reporting quarter, the investment by Sansar Capital Management dwarfs all other institutional holdings. As shown in Table 1 below, combined institutional holdings in Sinovac stock totaled approximately 2.05 million shares at year end, 2006. This was an increase of roughly 556,000 shares from the previous quarter.  More...

Since our last report, March 6th, not much as changed in the equity markets.  As we expected, the markets continued to probe for buying support and made a slightly lower print over the past week where the market experienced some enthusiastic buying.  There remains a probability, more...

March 11 thru March 16, 2007

We last visited Google a few weeks back detailing that without a Google push higher, the market was brewing lower prices ahead and due for a near term, steep sell-off.  March growled as a bear rather than a lion and proved that forecast eerily accurate. 

The good news now reveals that Google has formed a meaningful trading bottom and with strong fundamentals (the best in the industry)  More...

Halliburton Runs Out Of Dodge, Rates A Sell

Halliburton moves to the Middle East in the modern sequel to Ali Baba and the 40 thieves.  No doubt, the move provided ample fodder for the politicians, but from the investor's perspective what does it really mean?  More...

March 4 thru March 10, 2007

We rated Syneron Medical a buy based on several positive fundamental and technical constructs, which  includes our patent pending Lupo-Kioutas© enterprise business model.  Syneron first showed up on our buy radar over one year ago when they transparently announced no forward earnings guidance.  More...

We rated MindRay Medical a buy based on several positive fundamental and technical constructs which  includes our patent pending Lupo-Kioutas© enterprise business model.  In addition, the equity has received support from a less than talented financial media. More...

The market has sold off so quickly and with such fear that our sentiment models are already near bullish, after reading negative for weeks.  In addition, our initial support objectives in the SPX and the NASDAQ were met this Monday, 3.6.2007, on the close of trade.

From a fundamental perspective,  More...

Pacific Ethanol reported excellent revenue growth, on 3.1.2007, just slightly below our estimates, which were the most aggressive, yet most accurate for the prior quarter.  We do not value quarter to quarter results as highly as the street since this is counterproductive to successful investing.  In addition, quarter to quarter analysis blurs the big picture, which we believe is still quite promising for Pacific.  More...

February 25, thru March 3, 2007

In summary, even though the NASDAQ market traded dramatically lower on Tuesday 2.27.2007, the 2400 level on the composite index--our vacuum point-- has still not been breached on a closing weekly basis.  While this is good news for the bulls, the bad news is that More...

Today, I captured some hellish advice off of the news wires (from a major broker no less) that detailed managing a severe loss in ones portfolio after the dagger like downturn we experienced this week.  It seems as though every charlatan, and sententious mountebank arises to seize the opportunity that ugly sell-offs create: planting seeds in the fertile soil of market confusion. More...

The media reported Tuesday, 2.27.2007, after the market close that the reason for the dramatic fall in equities was partly because of computer 'glitches'.  This is truly the biggest story of the week, and not the 400 point plus clipping we were expecting for some time.  More...

We last visited IBM post earnings disappointment, which we forecasted here earlier.  The stock traded sharply lower after the report, only to gain back most of the losses by lugging back towards the $100 price level.  Has anything changed within IBM's business model to encourage a breach of the $100 price level that has capped investor gains for the past 5 years, and returning for investors results that make guaranteed money market funds look lofty?  More...

For article comments please write: editor@financialtrader.com

Making market order out of market chaos.© FinancialTrader.com 1997-2006©